Real-time hazard tools (JRA2)

Develop new approaches to time-dependent earthquake hazard assessment and earthquake forecasting in the Euro-Med region. Create a sustainable and community supported platform for testing forecast models. Coordinator: Stefan Wiemer, Swiss Federal Institute of Technology (ETH), Zürich, Switzerland.

Developments
The group has formed strategic alliances with WP5 in the SAFER project and with the global Collaboratory for the Study of Earthquake Predictability (CSEP).  

Figure 1 - Proposed testing region Italy, Figure 2 - Completeness Study Italy (Schorlemmer et al), Figure 3 - Model development Italy (Marzocchi et al).

Additional links 5th International Workshop on Statistical Seismology; Physical and Stochastic Modelling of Earthquake Occurence and Forecasting (presentations available) QuakeML (XML representation of seismological parameter data) - coordinated by ETHZ QuakePy (set of software tools for statistical analyses of earthquake catalogs)

Reports (pdf) QuakeML - An XML representation of seismological data Alpha version EU Step Model Agreement on EU forecast testing rules Straw-man update of Euro-Med hazard